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上海2022年3月疫情单日新增预测

预测疫情确诊人数,基于官方疫情数据进行多项式回归计算得出,大概可以预测未来一周的情形,但是请勿当真,以实际公布的数据为准。

数据来源: https://github.com/MichaelU3/COVID-19-2022-SH https://shcovid192022.azurewebsites.net/

数据提取: https://shcovid192022.azurewebsites.net/data?v=function%20random()%20{%20[native%20code]%20}

函数图像绘制工具:https://zh.numberempire.com/graphingcalculator.php

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关于模型

我想问一下大佬用的是什么数学模型

The feature within your Polynomial Regression

Hi @pxp1230

Your model for 2019-nCoV looks good, want to learn from, but slightly confusing, so can you help me about these questions?

  1. what features you choose within Polynomial Regression.

Only see a text like this:

double result = p[0] + p[1] * x + p[2] * Math.Pow(x, 2) + p[3] * Math.Pow(x, 3) + p[4] * Math.Pow(x, 4) + p[5] * Math.Pow(x, 5);

Can you give me the interpretation of what p[i] are?

-57.7620958751342+178.679492495802*x-44.9790201344528*x*x+2.59980450518181*x*x*x+0.147159013120125*x*x*x*x-0.00389681002953339*x*x*x*x*x

I guess these numbers are the coefficients in the model? how you turn the coefficients?

非常感激感谢如果您能解答!!

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