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crypto-analysis-forcasting's Introduction

Project’s title: Crypto Analysis and Univariate forcasting

Data

The data source is coinmarketcap web-api data

Analysis

analysis

Arima

arimafam

Prophet

prophet

Demo

demo.1.mp4

Files:


    ├── app.py
    ├── Mainnotebook.ipynb
    ├── predictions.csv
    ├── README.md
    ├── requirements.txt
    |
    ├── assets
    │   ├── analysis.png
    │   ├── arima_fam.png
    │   ├── prophet.png
    │   ├── demo.mp4
    │   └── data.png
    |
    ├── analysis
    │   ├── __init__.py
    │   ├── acf_pacf_plot.py
    │   ├── hist_plot.py
    │   ├── qq_plot.py
    │   └── seasonal_decomp.py
    |
    ├── data
    │   ├── __init__.py
    │   ├── scraping_script.py
    │   ├── data_cleaning.py
    │   ├── ada_daily.csv
    │   ├── btc_daily.csv
    │   ├── eth_daily.csv
    │   ├── ftm_daily.csv
    │   ├── matic_daily.csv
    │   └── xrp_daily.csv
    |
    ├── models
    │   ├── __init__.py
    │   ├── arima_res.py
    │   ├── arima.ipynb
    │   ├── prophet.ipynb
    │   └── saved
    │       └── prophet_serialized_model.json
    |
    └── streamlit_funcs
        ├── arima_st.py
        ├── insights.py
        └── prophet_res.py

Requirements.txt:

     matplotlib==3.5.3
     numpy==1.23.1
     pandas==1.4.4
     plotly==5.9.0
     prophet==1.1.1
     requests==2.28.1
     scipy==1.8.1
     statsmodels==0.13.2
     streamlit==1.11.0

To run the app :

    
     git clone https://github.com/obaidagh/crypto-analysis-forcasting

     cd crypto-analysis-forcasting

     conda create -n crypto_st python=3.10.6

     conda activate crypto_st

     pip3 install -r requirements.txt

     streamlit run app.py     

How i will improve the project:

Because the high volitale nature of cryptocurrencies with no seasonality , no exogenous variables and the models having high bias
the models failed to have high accuracy.

1- increase models complexity or change the models hypothesis set
2- add Deep learining models(Neural Prophet, LSTM)
3- add exagones variables
    a- US intrest rate
    b- s&P 500 returns
    c- feature extraction(rolling mean,rolling std,volume,rolling volume)

crypto-analysis-forcasting's People

Watchers

O. Gharbia avatar  avatar

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