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Hello, Jackson @NYC-DOHMH-JB , it seems the vaccination rates posted in covid-vaccine-data/people/coverage-by-demo.csv are increasingly becoming invalid as more and more demographics exceed 100%.

I know the Readme says this is possible for race/ethnicity in small groupings due to some people possibly being counted in both, but it is now happening in the age groupings. Also, it happened in the Asian grouping, which is over 1M total people. It's not possible for over 100% of Asians/HNPI to be vaccinated nor for over 100% of 18-24.

This means the population numbers are wrong. If the population numbers are wrong, then the unvaccinated calculations are also wrong. This throws all the comparisons off dramatically.

Can the population numbers be fixed?

Thank you!
Clayton

Hello, @acharney2 , we discussed this previously, and you mentioned the population numbers were being updated.

Are you able to share the timeline for that? I'm asking again due to the urgency of this issue for how it impacts POC, children, and elderly.

When using 2019 Intercensal, the results are non-sensical and make it impossible to target policies to the proper demos:

• 18-24: 101.85%
• 35-44: 100.04%
• Asian/NHPI: 102.38%
• NA/AN: 119.74%
• Asian Adults: 108.7%
• NA/AN Adults: 133.43%
  

I know there is a disclaimer saying small groups may go over 100%, but that would only apply to NA/AN. The Asian/NHPI, 18-24, and 35-44 groups are huge. This indicates a major denominator issue.

The 75+ groups also indicator a major problem, but we can't know if it's a data problem or a real problem with that demographic. This is how extreme the numbers are:

• More 75+ Unvax than all of 18-24 + 35-74 combined
• Equal 75+ Unvax to all of 13-24 + 35-74 combined
• Both 75-84 & 85+ have more Unvax than other age groups besides 25-34 & 5-12 despite having lowest pops
  

When you combine this with the published Death rates per age group (Vax status not provided) where 75+ death rate is as much as 250X higher than 35-44 (infinite for younger), it leads to a misunderstanding of what drives the Vax vs. Unvax COVID risk ratios:

When applying 2020 census to the Population Vax%, the overall trend looks like this through week of 1/1:

This 2nd version goes through 1/29, but Vaccine Record Matching is not complete after 1/1:

I know this is a lot, but these details are crucial for Commissioner Chokshi and Mayor Adams to make well-informed decisions regarding public health policy.

Thank you!
-Clayton

When are kids' vaccination numbers going to show up in the data? It's been over a week since the vaccine was approved for children 5 and over, and it doesn't look like most of those jabs have gotten picked up in the reporting.

Thanks,
HL

Hello, @acharney2, I am tagging you because I'm unable to tag ebubakar and cchang21 (the last 2 to commit data on this file).

For weeks 1/1 and 1/8, the Vax and Unvax numbers for Cases seem highly skewed compared to prior weeks. Is this data correct, or were there tens of thousands of cases not yet categorized and thus left within unvaxxed?

I ask because the rate of change is drastic. The data indicate vaxxed cases went down during the height of the City's incline, and the rate between Vax and Unvax dropped off a cliff.

In weeks 12/18 and 12/25, more than half the cases were vaxxed, but then weeks of 1/1 and 1/8 show a drastic falloff that does not make sense.

I'm hoping to find out if these are data integrity errors or if the data just hasn't been categorized yet due to unknown vax status.

Btw, this drastic difference in cases seems to filter into Hospitalizations, too (and likely Deaths), so it's important to get this fixed throughout.

Thank you!
Clayton

I know the numbers have not changed much in months, but does the city really believe that only 55% of residents 85 or over have been fully vaccinated?

Thanks,
HL

How is the city presently accounting for (or planning to account for) booster shots?

Thanks,
HL

The 10018 zip code numbers appear to be off, with almost 120% of the total population listed as having received a dose. Moreover, the numbers are also far and away the fastest growing in all of New York City--the rate of weekly increase is more than twice that of the next highest zip code (10036, also in Chelsea). I know the population denominators aren't going to be perfect for any zip code, but is there another reason for this aberration?

Thanks,
HL

I check the map daily for my zip code...10024. Since you represent the percentages out to 2 points, I could always count on at least some movement every day. Then one day a few weeks ago, it stopped at 79.24 with at least one dose and 74.43 fully vaccinated and has stayed there ever since. While actual vaccination my have slowed, I doubt it suddenly ground to a halt in one day. What's going on?

Hello again, @acharney2

I wanted to rekindle this topic from one year ago (Feb 2022): #12 (comment).

It seems nycHealthy is still using the 2019 intercensal for Vax vs. Unvax denominators, and these numbers have gotten so out of hand that we are now down to 3,405 total Unvaccinated adults (18+) in NYC. We of course know this isn't true, but the public has no idea that such egregiously wrong population denominators are driving the NYC DOH Vax vs. Unvax charts.

These artificially-low denominators lead to artificially large - and inaccurate - gaps between Vax and Unvax age-adjusted rates.

This then leads to negative downstream policy outcomes like:

• Unvaccinated NYC parents not being allowed to step foot on school grounds due to the DOH Commissioner not knowing the CoV2 Unvax rates are completely wrong
• The White House basing policy decisions off the CDC’s inflated Vax vs. Unvax Incident Rate Ratios (IRR) due in part to NYC supplying false numbers as one of the 23 participating jurisdictions

Can nycHealthy at least change the Population Vax%, Unvax rates, and all age-adjusted rates to reflect the 2020 census?

Maintaining these egregiously false numbers ONLY for ease of comparison is wholly inappropriate. I think you and the NYC public would agree.

Thank you kindly,
Clayton

Are you going to start posting information about booster doses?

Thanks,
HL

When selecting the "fully vaccinated" radio button on this map, the Financial District shows >100% of the population that's received at least one dose: https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data-vaccines.page#byzip

Hello,

My name is Natalia and I am a project manager for Maimonides Hospital Psychiatry department. My team and I are writing a research paper about the Brooklyn Rates surrounding Maimonides Hospital. We have found weekly data from April through now, and were wondering if there is any weekly data from January - March 2021?

Hi all! Wanted to check in and see when we can expect kids under 5 to be added to the data. I'd love to be able to share that info with readers. Thanks!