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JoaquinAmatRodrigo avatar JoaquinAmatRodrigo commented on May 25, 2024

Hi @NunopRolo,
Thanks for using skforecast.
The current implementation of ForecasterAutoreg and ForecasterAutoregDirect does not allow to use ARIMA models as regressors. The reason is that the underlying matrices for fitting the model are not compatible. For ARIMA-SARIMAX models, we suggest using ForecasterSarimax.
Hope this helps.

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NunopRolo avatar NunopRolo commented on May 25, 2024

Hi @JoaquinAmatRodrigo

Thanks for the quick response.
Ok, but with ForecasterSarimax it is not possible to perform the direct multi-step approach.
Do you know of any way, or another library, to perform this direct multi-step approach, in ARIMA models?

Thank you!

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JoaquinAmatRodrigo avatar JoaquinAmatRodrigo commented on May 25, 2024

Unfortunately, there is currently no way to do this in skforecast, and I am not aware of any other library that does it.
Still, I am not sure if it makes sense to combine a direct strategy with an arima model. These types of models are forced to use a recursive strategy because they need the previous errors in their MA component. Therefore, for an arima model to predict step +3, it needs to predict step +1 and step +2 before. They cannot point directly to step +3.

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NunopRolo avatar NunopRolo commented on May 25, 2024

Ok @JoaquinAmatRodrigo, thank you.
I closed the issue then.

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