nz-election-forecast
Probabilistic prediction model for the New Zealand general election
Results can be seen on the New Zealand Election Forecasts at Free Range Statistics
Probabilitstic prediction model for the New Zealand general election
License: GNU General Public License v3.0
Probabilistic prediction model for the New Zealand general election
Results can be seen on the New Zealand Election Forecasts at Free Range Statistics
need to first get them into nzelect
.
See http://stoppress.co.nz/features/newshub-polling re changing methodologies. Also even without that perhaps variance in the estimates of house effects should be added to the variance of the point estimates at the final stage.
mod_all <- gam(list(
ACT ~ s(MidDate, k = 3),
Conservative ~ s(MidDate, k = 3),
Green ~ s(MidDate),
Labour ~ s(MidDate),
Mana ~ s(MidDate, k = 3),
Maori ~ s(MidDate, k = 3),
National ~ s(MidDate),
NZ.First ~ s(MidDate),
United.Future ~ MidDate),
data = PollsAll, family = mvn(d = 9))
When I run above code, I've got a error message as follows.
"Error in eval(expr, envir, enclos) : object 'Maori' not found"
Could you please resolve this issue?
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