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morocco-earthquake-impact's Introduction

Support for Morocco Earthquake Impact Analysis

Using Alternative Data to Understand Economic Impacts of the 2023 Morocco earthquake.

Challenge

In September 2023, a powerful 6.8 magnitude earthquake and a series of strong tremors and aftershocks wrought substantial damages in central Morocco. As of time of writing, the death toll has passed 2,800 and the earthquake’s aftermath is substantially impacting the people, infrastructure, and local economy of the two countries. The World Bank issued a statement shortly after the quake, indicating its full support in the wake of the catastrophe. Effective World Bank and donor interventions will require a deep, data-driven understanding of these impacts.

The Morocco Country Economist and Poverty Team have requested advisory on data and analytical resources that may support measurement and monitoring of socio-economic impacts, including population displacement and business impacts.

Approach

The WB Data Lab is exploring use of alternative data to better understand immediate socio-economic impacts of the earthquake and resiliency of the affected communities. To this end, the team prepared a Strategic Brief, which presents available datasets and analytics to support answers to these questions.

The team, comprised of colleagues from the Global Operations Support Team (GOST), the Development Impact Monitoring and Evaluation team (DIME), the Development Data Partnership, and the WB Data Lab, are working with the country team to explore use of alternative open and proprietary data sources to generate new data products that can be sustainably updated.

Data Goods

Datasets and methods used to generate insights for this project are being prepared as Data Goods. Data Goods are comprised of data, reproducible methods (code), documentation, and sample insights. Unlike a traditional data analysis, which results in a single-use report or visualization, Data Goods are designed to be re-used for future updates and projects, thereby building the capacity of the World Bank and partner organizations to quickly and effectively deliver complex data science solutions to pressing global challenges.

Data Availability Statement

Restrictions may apply to the data that support the findings of this study. Data received from the private sector through the Development Data Partnership are subject to the terms and conditions of the data license agreement and the "Official Use Only" data classification. These data are available upon request through the Development Data Partnership. Licensing and access information for all other datasets are included in the documentation.

License

The repository is licensed under the World Bank Master Community License Agreement.

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morocco-earthquake-impact's Issues

Google Trends Analysis Interpretation

My note is more on interpretation. In this notebook, when comparing past 3 years, we may be led to interpret the plot lines as comparable. However, it seems that the values were obtained from separate API requests, which would make the values incomparable in volume. That's because the Google Trends getGraph returns a normalized 0-100 index for each time range.

Let's illustrate. If we search for covid-19 for 2020 and 2023 separately, we may be led to believe that the interest has remain high in 2023, even that it is only a fraction in volume of 2020.

Google Trends for covid-19 in 2020

Screenshot 2023-12-11 at 4 14 52 PM

Google Trends for covid-19 in 2023

Screenshot 2023-12-11 at 4 15 31 PM

Google Trends for covid-19 in 2020-2023

Screenshot 2023-12-11 at 4 16 02 PM

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