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covid's Introduction

Red Sewer Fox
Covid Fox Monitoring
A Covid Wastewater Project

Project Direction

There are several aims that I want to fulfill with this project.

  • Give People An Overview of Current Covid Transmission Levels
  • Collect & Share Data Sources for people to use for their Covid-projects

In order to fulfill these aims the current project direction is

  • Find more Datalinks to Covid Wastewater Data
  • Find ways to use social media data โŒ ${\color{red}\text{Cancelled}}$
  • Find ways to pull aggregated google trends search terms data by region
  • Find ways to pull aggregated mobility data per region
  • Forecast covid transmission per country 1-4+ weeks ahead โœ” ${\color{green}\text{Completed}}$
  • Forecasts per region
  • Improve forecasts
  • Add variant data for better predictions ๐Ÿ”จ๐Ÿ‘ท๐Ÿšงโš ๏ธ ${\color{darkorange}\text{In Progress}}$
  • Improved data standardization ๐Ÿ”จ๐Ÿ‘ท๐Ÿšงโš ๏ธ ${\color{darkorange}\text{In Progress}}$
  • Add Research News from Nature.com using LLM to interpret Abstract for laypersons.โœ” ${\color{green}\text{Completed}}$

Reliability of The Project

  • Find ways of better hosting (URGENT - Exceeding free github tier) โœ” ${\color{green}\text{Completed}}$
  • Data Quality Control
  • Implementation of proper CI/CD pipeline
  • Testing prior to releases
  • Full automation of independent daily updates

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Outside of Scope (Currently)

  • Simulations of NPI's & transmission level



Please Note: The graphs and data are to be interpreted carefully.


Current Status

Geo Map Viz

Link to Covid-19 Wastewater Monitoring Website (Click Here!)


Colorization Rule (Current)

Interpretation

  • Sweden: Red = "High Transmission". Based on the height of Uppsala wastewater measures during wave 1 2020.
  • All Other Countries: Red = "Relatively High Transmission". Based on each country separately relative to the Min-Max values in the timeperiod.
  • Withinin country comparisons can be made.
  • Between country comparisons should ONLY be made with careful interpretation. The colors are relative, so I believe only relative time dimension interpretations are possible. NOT degree of transmission on a specific week. The reason is that almost each country uses different metrics to track transmission.

The Heuristic of the Swedish Cut-off Value of 10 and above indicated as "high transmission" (red). Trendline Viz


Trendline Charts

Later might update the trend graphs. The trick is to figure out how to create a concise & intuitive overview. Trendline Viz

Prediction Models

A simple Neural Net implemented. Caution: Very early stage. Interpret carefully. Known issues:

  • Bugs when running for some countries e.g. Finland and Poland.
  • Will not capture sudden strong spikes. prediction

AI LLM

Uses a large language model to make research news more accessible to non-scientists.

Questions?

For questions, suggestions, requests or ideas: Contact me on twitter or linkedin.

Twitter URL

Linkedin LinkedInย 

Email: [email protected]

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