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crypto-uncertainty-index's Introduction

Hey there, I'm Christopher 👨🏻‍💻

I am a software engineer whose interests and passions lie in databases, distributed systems, big data processing as well as natural language processing. You can find my passion + learning / school projects messily dumped here (cos that's what repositories are for right), though its due for some committed progress and refactoring (tech debt is real 😳) and other messily strewn and half finished notes here on tech-related readings and exploits.

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crypto-uncertainty-index's Issues

Pull Wiki Weasel Data

  1. Explore Wiki Dumps and obtain initial raw data
  2. Process data and construct Wiki Weasel initial dataset
  3. [Good to Have] Explore Edit History to enrich Wiki Weasel tags

Fine Tune / Transfer Learn Hedge Classifier

  • Prepare Training Data Preprocessing Pipeline
  • Prepare model tuning scripts with W&B
  • Transformer
  • Vinzsce's Model
  • Hyperparam Tune with RayTune + W&B
  • Select model and perform inference
  • Build Hedge based Uncertainty Index

Refactor Pipelines

Naming conventions and functional abstraction needs to be tidied up:

  • Refactor dataclass to pydantic
  • Refactor data engineering pipelines
  • Add in Rich Tables for Pipelines
  • Add in relevant Utils
  • Abstract where possible
  • Refactor CLI
  • Add in help
  • Fix Poetry integration

Train and Evaluate Forecasting Models

  • Build baseline models and evaluate
  • Rework Time Series analysis
  • Rework / Tune Forecasting models
  • Evaluate using Diebold Mariano
  • Enhance BTC-USD data with more technical analysis indicators
  • Build Dynamic Factor Model to synthesise TA indicators

Fix Elasticsearch indexing field

Current indexing field is automatically created by ES upon bulk insert, to prevent duplication (i.e. idempotence) when re-running extraction pipelines, the _id field should use reddit's own comment / submission id which is always unique.

Perform Topic Modelling to create Enhanced Keyword Uncertainty Index

  • Extract raw data from pkl files and Process
  • Training Pipelines / Script for Topic Modelling
  • Test out topic modelling algorithms
  • Build up topics and define lexicon for uncertainty related topics and word distributions
  • Construct new index
  • Clean up noise in text
  • Remodel with LDA with Gensim / Mallet for K = {2, 9} and Compute BIC/ Bayes Factor
  • Run Top2Vec with Doc2Vec and tune for fewer clusters
  • Test out Bigrams (Debugging in Progress / KIV)

Text analysis and lexicon build up

EDA, Lexicon enhancement, etc. prior to building our text based keyword uncertainty index

  • Explore raw data (Using notebooks & Kibana dashboards)
  • Explore emoticons and crypto lexicons to create mappings for processing
  • Reindex existing index to new ES index with custom text analyzer
  • Build up preliminary text preprocessing and relevant pipelines using Elasticsearch / SpaCy / NLTK and others

Pull reddit data from pushshift.io

  • Code up extraction script and utilities
  • Build & Test Data Extraction and Loading Pipelines
  • Extract and load all crypto data
  • Do up data dictionary

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