- reference:
- us-state.csv (state-level data)
- stochastic (random walk) basline
- previous_day_prediciton
- basic baseline
- Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
- Linear Regression
- state of the art machine learning
- XGBoost (gradient boosting tree.)
- statistical baseline model
- GAM
- Deep learning baseline model
- MLP
- Deep learning time series baslines model
- LSTM
* mape
* mse
* rmse
* r2score
- expanding window validation (train/val/test)
- aka walking forward validation