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stat508-final-proj's Introduction

Hi! I'm Callum, a 4th year PhD candidate in the Biology department at Penn State, studying infectious disease epidemiology. I spend a lot of my day thinking about respiratory viruses (currently SARS-CoV-2 and measles), using traditional epidemiological methods and mathematical transmission models to better understand the burden of disease. More specifically, I am exploring how the choices we make when discretizing continuous and complex phenomena, such as assigning individuals into different transmission risk groups or turning an serological IgG optical density value into a binary positive/negative result, affects our ability to prevent, detect, and even understand outbreaks.

I mainly work in R and Julia, but sometimes dabble with Python for personal projects, and am currently learning Javascript (and D3) for web development and interactive plots and books, and Rust for CLI tools.

  • 🔭 I’m currently working on:
    • The Data4Action cohort study to better understand SARS-CoV-2 transmission dynamics in University communities
    • Measles burden estimation, and a vaccination campaign effectiveness evaluation, in the Democratic Republic of Congo, in collaboration with the Epicentre team from Médecins Sans Frontières
    • Developing methods for better detection measles outbreak in settings with limited resources and test capabilities
    • Creating a handbook about Julia for epidemiologists, inspired by the excellent EpiRHandbook
  • 🌱 I’m currently learning:
    • Javascript
    • Rust
  • 👯 I’m always looking to collaborate on any interesting epidemiology projects
  • 📫 How to reach me:
    • At my twitter (although I'm not particularly active, I will respond to DMs)
    • Via email (contact at callumarnold dot com)

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stat508-final-proj's People

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stat508-final-proj's Issues

Build standard glm model

  • Calibration plot

    • LR meant to be a calibrated model so should be pretty good on initial data
  • Use RMS to calibrate

  • Bootstrap/CV

Build models

  • Look into if can use GLMNet given PCA already used to reduce dimensions
    • Think that it could be used to determine how many PCs to use
  • Logistic regression
  • Tree based methods
    • Random forest
    • Boosted
    • Bagged
  • kNN
  • GAM
    • Can it be used with continuous predictors and binary output?
  • Splines
    • Can it be used with continuous predictors and binary output?
  • SVM
    • Radial kernel
    • Linear kernel
  • LDA
    • Can it be used with continuous predictors and binary output?
  • QDA

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