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illi4 avatar illi4 commented on July 21, 2024

To recap, I will have setups rated 5-3, and exit variants A/B/C/D.
Will have expectancy for Setup 5A, 5B etc. = win rate % * median % value - loss rate % * median % value
Will have time in trades so expectancy should be time-based.

Simulation should be answering the following questions:

  1. How many trades per week/month for 5/4/3 stars.
  2. How much to allocate to each trade to avoid ruin.
  3. Should I pick up all 5-star trades? How much 4/3 star should I enter too?

from stock-screener.

illi4 avatar illi4 commented on July 21, 2024

Note: only consider 8+ star setups as there are enough for the capital.
Added a test variation to exit on significant red.

On simulation:

  • take different # of parallel entries and positions held in parallel. preliminary 5 at the time.
  • consider commissions too and budget constraints depending on the broker
  • consider tests (a/b/...)
  • simulate entries and exits on the days from the spreadsheet
  • less priority: add different thresholds with 'hit x%'

Note that I need to implement logging as well from the other app.

Probably implement in a relaxing matter over the next couple of months while establishing the approach.

from stock-screener.

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