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covid-19-analysis's Introduction

Various use cases on Covid-19 analysis

Use Case-1: Covid forecasting using DL & Stats models

  • predicting the number of COVID cases, Deaths & number of Cured cases using Indian covid count dataset from kaggle.
  • This is a time series analysis problem
  • Worked on various types of visualization to understand how many cases/deaths/cured cases are being reported monthly, weekly and daily basis.
  • converted the dataset into time series using below method:
    • First divided the whole dataset into train and test data and converted them to numpy arrays.
    • Then for every 'n' number of samples in train data do
      • take first n-1 data points as X, and nth sample as y
    • For test data, take first n data set x_test, and remaining all as y_test
  • Used LSTM architecture to predict the number of cases
  • Then used statistical models for decomposition of Cured count into 3 time series components: Trend, Seasonality and Residual.
  • Used Augmented Dickey Fuller statistical test to find out whether the given Time Series is stationary (fixed mean and variance over time) or not. Here, if p-value is less than significance level (0.05), the we can reject the null hypothesis (the time series is not stationary)
  • Used statistical models like Holt, SimpleExponentialSmoothing to predict the future cases.

Use Case-2: Covid Presence Detection - Based on symptoms given as features

  • I have used Dataprep library, which is a python library that is used for data preparation and EDA.
  • Used Bi-Variate analysis to understand which features are actually affecting individuals with COVID-19.
  • Used ensembling and selected best classifier to predict the final output.

covid-19-analysis's People

Contributors

anirbansarkar823 avatar

Watchers

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